Syria: the Arab League proposal, the beginning of the end?

Yesterday we where met with information that the Syrian regime had accepted the terms of the Arab League (and here). But today the killing continues. What are we to make of this? Well, it is not the first time that Bashar al-Assad promised to stop shooting at protesters. It is most likely that the increasingly isolated regime, pressured by economic sanctions is playing for time.

If the Syrian regime would accept and implement the terms laid out by the Arab League this would most likely spell the end of the regime. Inside the regime this could only be seen as weakness, opening up for a coup d’etat from those hardliners that have pushed for more and harder action against the protests. Protesters would see this, the withdrawal of tanks and troops, the end of violence and freeing of political prisoners as a victory. A victory would energize them. A victory would open up for more demonstrations and the possibility of the spreading of protests to Damascus and Aleppo. A victory, an end of violence would urge more people to take to the streets demanding the end of the regime.

This is why the Assad regimes acceptance of the demands of the Arab League is as credible as all those reforms the regime has promised and those they claim they have ‘implemented’. Window dressing. For the Arab League this will be a loss of face. The only why to remedy this is to do to Syria what the Arab League did to Libya – suspension as have been recommended by the Arab Parliament on 20 september 2011. If such a move is implemented the support of Russia and China would likely start to crumble. This is why the Arab League proposal either why is the beginning of the end for the regime of Bashar al-Assad.

About Leif Eriksson

Leif Eriksson has worked in the field of asylum at the Swedish Migration Agency specializing in the Middle East, Schengen and the Dublin Regulation, as Migration Attaché and head of the migration section at the Swedish Embassy in Damascus 2005 - 2008, as a resettlement consultant at the UNHCR branch office in Damascus 2008 - 2009, Consul at the Swedish Consulate General in Jerusalem 2012 - 2013 and associate RSD/RST officer at UNHCR in Beirut 2013 - 2014. He currently lives in Tbilisi, Georgia.
This entry was posted in Arab League, Syria and tagged , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

3 Responses to Syria: the Arab League proposal, the beginning of the end?

  1. ramia says:

    It might be ss you said the end of the regime that we know or have known for decades… but when mentioning the killing you always fail to mention the killing done by part of the the revolutioners to civilians in few parts of syria . take homs for example the last two days the death tall reached 110 civilians who are either pro regime or just come from villages that have the same eligious

    • Dear Ramia – thank you for thanking the time to comment. Yes, I agree that this, killing by both government and some parts of the opposition merits positing/comments from me. I will remedy this.

      Best regards

      Leif

      P.S. If you have a source for me on the killing 110 in people in Homs please be so kind and post it for me.

  2. ramia says:

    Have you heared about what is happening in homs!!! 110 peaple were killed on their identities and that is only the last two days… The regime has been doing horrible things but some parts of the opposition are competing with the regimes brutality..maybe if you want to analyse what is happening in syria you should use your both eyes.

Comments are closed.